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Identifying young adults at high risk of cardiometabolic disease using cluster analysis and the Framingham 30-yr risk score

Nutrition, Metabolism & Cardiovascular Diseases Oct 21, 2021

Barden AE, Huang RC, Beilin LJ, et al. - Approximately 20% of young adults at high cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk were identified via cluster analysis using multiple risk factors. Employing the proposed Framingham 30yr-risk cut-offs enables detection of more young individuals with multiple risk factors for CVD than conventional metabolic syndrome criteria.

  • A large sub-group of adolescents with multiple risk factors for CVD was identified by cluster analysis, in cohort studies.

  • Raine Study data at 17- (n=1,048) and 20-years (n=1,120) defined high- and low-risk groups via cluster analysis, and CVD risk at 20-years was assessed using the Framingham 30yr-risk-score in the high- and low-risk clusters.

  • Using cluster analysis at 17- and 20-years, a high-risk group was found consisting of, 17.9% and 21.3%, respectively of the cohort.

  • The criteria for metabolic syndrome were fulfilled by only 1.2% and 3.4%, respectively, all of whom were within the high-risk cluster.

  • Relative to the low-risk cluster, Framingham scores of the high-risk cluster were increased in males (9.4% vs 6.0%) and females (4.9% vs 3.2%).

  • Framingham scores >8 (males) and >4 (females) identified those at high-risk.

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