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Geospatial variability in excess death rates during the COVID-19 pandemic in Mexico: Examining socio demographic, climate and population health characteristics

International Journal of Infectious Diseases Oct 24, 2021

Dahal S, Luo R, Swahn MH, et al. - Researchers sought to ascertain the excess mortality patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic in Mexico in correlation with socio-demographic, climate and population health characteristics on the geospatial variability.

  • All-cause excess mortality rates were estimated for all 32 Mexican states by using Serfling regression models.

  • Until April 10, 2021, the overall all-cause excess deaths rate was estimated at 39.66 per 10,000 population during the COVID-19 pandemic in Mexico.

  • The highest all-cause excess mortality rates were recorded among Central Mexican states.

  • In Mexico, nearly 1 in 5 (19%) of all excess deaths were recorded in Mexico City.

  • There appeared a positive association of aging index, marginalization index, and household size with excess death rates.

  • Four distinct clusters of excess mortality growth rate curves were identified at state level.

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