Estimating global and regional disruptions to routine childhood vaccine coverage during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020: A modelling study
The Lancet Aug 11, 2021
Causey K, Fullman N, Sorensen RJD, et al. - In 2020, stark challenges were faced by routine immunization services because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Although some regions showed recovery in the latest coverage trajectories, millions of children still remained under-vaccinated or unvaccinated against preventable diseases at the end of 2020.
For DTP3 and MCV1, estimated vaccine coverage was 76·7% and 78·9%, respectively, in 2020, representing relative reductions of 7·7% and 7·9% compared with expected doses delivered in the absence of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Nearly 30·0 million children missed doses of DTP3 and 27·2 million children missed MCV1 doses from January to December, 2020.
Globally, April 2020 had the highest monthly disruptions, across all GBD super-regions, with 4·6 million children missing doses of DTP3 and 4·4 million (3·7–5·2) children missing doses of MCV1.
The most severe annual impacts were observed in north Africa and the Middle East, south Asia, and Latin America and the Caribbean.
Sub-Saharan Africa showed the lowest annual reductions in vaccine delivery, where disruptions remained minimal throughout the year.
Per estimates, monthly doses were delivered at or above expected levels during the second half of 2020 for some super-regions, including southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania for both DTP3 and MCV1, the high-income super-region for DTP3, and south Asia for MCV1.
Routine immunization data system strengthening and targeting resources and outreach will be critical to attain reduction in the risk of vaccine-preventable disease outbreaks.
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