Effectiveness of allopurinol in reducing mortality: time‐related biases in observational studies
Arthritis & Rheumatology Aug 04, 2021
Suissa S, Suissa K, Hudson M, et al. - The results demonstrated a significantly decreased mortality with allopurinol treatment cannot be applied as evidence, nevertheless, mainly due to time-related biases that tend to greatly exaggerate the potential benefit of treatments. The ALL-HEART randomized trial, which is currently underway and assesses the effect of adding allopurinol to usual care (compared to no added treatment), will offer reliable data on mortality.
Researchers distinguished 12 observational studies, of which 3 were affected by immortal time bias and 3 by immeasurable time bias, while the remaining 6 studies avoided these time-related biases.
They observed reductions in all-cause mortality with allopurinol use among the studies with immortal time bias, with a pooled hazard ratio (HR) of death correlated with allopurinol of 0.71 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.50–1.01), as well as in those with immeasurable time bias (pooled HR 0.62 [95% CI 0.56–0.67]).
In this research, the 6 studies that avoided these biases showed a null effect of allopurinol on mortality (pooled HR 0.99 [95% CI 0.87–1.11]), though the lack of an analysis based on treatment adherence may have attenuated the effect.
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