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Predicting malignancy of biliary stricture with a nomogram in patients with a non-malignant endoscopic tissue diagnosis: A retrospective study

Cancer Management and Research Oct 14, 2021

Zhang Y, Jiang Q, Wang Q, et al. - Correct discrimination between benign and malignant biliary stricture (MBS) is significant but challenging, therefore, this study provides a nomogram that is capable of predicting malignancy in patients whose endoscopy tissue diagnoses were non-malignant. Addition of nomogram improved overall diagnostic performance.

  • This study involved 232 patients with suspected MBS who had endoscopy tissue sampling done; 123 patients’ endoscopy tissue samples were categorized as non-malignant (including atypical, negative for malignancy, and non-diagnostic).

  • A nomogram was constructed based on bilirubin, carbohydrate antigen 19–9, radiological result, and atypical sampling findings and offered an area under the curve of 0.863 for predicting MBS.

  • The specificity, sensitivity, and accuracy of endoscopy tissue diagnosis were reported to be 100.00%, 59.90%, and 68.53%, respectively.

  • Addition of the nomogram provided overall diagnosis specificity, sensitivity, and accuracy of 95.24%, 89.20%, and 90.23%, respectively.

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