Association between estimated glomerular filtration rate and 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk among community residents in Shanghai, China
Nutrition, Metabolism & Cardiovascular Diseases Nov 25, 2021
Zhang Y, Yu Y, Zhu J, et al. - Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) could represent a crucial risk factor in predicting as well as stratifying the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Combining eGFR into existing risk evaluation tools is recommended to enhance predictive performance.
From 28,187 participants from Shanghai Suburban Adult Cohort and Biobank study, baseline data were utilized, and experts adopted Pooled Cohort Equations (PCEs) and Prediction for ASCVD Risk in China (China-PAR) to estimate 10-year ASCVD risk.
A gradual increase in the median of 10-year ASCVD risk was evident with the decrease of eGFR level.
The adjusted odds ratios, for males, of 10-year high ASCVD risk by PCEs linked with eGFR (60-74 and <60 mL/min/1.73 m 2 ) were 1.52 and 2.51; the corresponding result was significant only for eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , OR of 1.57 for females.
When China-PAR was used, the adjusted OR of 10-year high risk related to eGFR<60 mL/min/1.73 m 2 was estimated to be 1.82 (1.40-2.38) in men.
By receiver operating characteristic, eGFR holds a good predictive value for 10-year high ASCVD risk.
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