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Advanced human immunodeficiency virus disease in Botswana following successful antiretroviral therapy rollout: Incidence of and temporal trends in cryptococcal meningitis

Clinical Infectious Diseases Aug 30, 2017

Tenforde MW, et al. – A nationwide surveillance study was undertaken to determine the national incidence of cryptococcal meningitis (CM), and describe characteristics of cases during 2000–2014 and temporal trends at 2 national referral hospitals. Despite its well–developed antiretroviral therapy (ART) program, Botswana indicated a substantial burden of advanced HIV, with 2013–2014 incidence of CM comparable to pre–ART era rates in South Africa. Findings thereby suggested that a key population of individuals, often men, had been developing advanced disease and associated opportunistic infections due to a failure to effectively engage in care, highlighting the need for differentiated care models.

Methods

  • Authors collected cerebrospinal fluid data from all 37 laboratories performing meningitis diagnostics in Botswana from the period 2000–2014 to identify cases of CM.
  • Record of basic demographic and laboratory data was maintained.
  • They used complete national data from 2013–2014 to calculate national incidence using UNAIDS population estimates.
  • Derivation of temporal trends in cases was performed from national referral centers in the period 2004–2014.

Results

  • In 4702 individuals, 5296 episodes of CM were identified; 60.6% were male, and median age was 36 years.
  • In this study, overall 2013–2014 incidence was 17.8 (95% confidence interval [CI], 16.6–19.2) cases per 100000 person-years.
  • Incidence was 96.8 (95% CI, 90.0–104.0) cases per 100000 person-years in the HIV-infected population; there appeared male predominance across CD4 strata.
  • At national referral hospitals, during 2007–2009, cases decreased but cases stabilized during 2010–2014.

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