A practical mathematic method to predict and manage hypocalcemia after parathyroidectomy and thyroidectomy
Annals of Otology, Rhinology & Laryngology Dec 12, 2019
Liu C, Tang L, Goel P, et al. - Researchers conducted a retrospective cohort study of 100 patients with primary hyperparathyroidism who underwent parathyroidectomy as the primary treatment modality in order to predict the severity of hypocalcemia after parathyroidectomy or thyroidectomy. In addition, they sought to stratify patients into groups with different levels of risk for developing severe hypocalcemia, so that close monitoring and earlier interventions could be undertaken in higher-risk patients. The most significant predicting factor for the severity of postoperative hypocalcemia was the percentage of reduction from preoperative PTH level to the lowest PTH level after the removal of the abnormal gland(s). A mathematic regressional correlation was noted between them. They generated a formula to quantify this linear relationship between them, and the nadir calcium can be calculated as Canadir = Capreop*[1−0.35*(PTHpreop−PTHintraop)2/PTH2 preop], where Canadir = the lowest postoperative calcium level, and PTHintraop = PTH level 15 minutes after removal of the abnormal gland, with the value of R2 > 0.7. They primarily tested the formula in this patient population with good reliability. These foindings suggest the utility of the highest preoperative, lowest postoperative, and change in PTH level in reliably calculating the trend of postoperative calcium level. The calculated result from the formula may assist in the decision to pursue early interventions.
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