For some forms of tuberculosis, the chances that an exposed person will get infected depend on whether the individual and the bacteria share a hometown, according to a new study comparing how different strains move through mixed populations in cosmopolitan cities.

Results of the research, led by Harvard Medical School scientists and published Aug. 1 in Nature Microbiology, provide the first hard evidence of long-standing observations that have led scientists to suspect that pathogen, place, and human host collide in a distinctive interplay that influences infection risk and fuels differences in susceptibility to infection.

The study strengthens the case for a long-standing hypothesis in the field that specific bacteria and their human hosts likely coevolved over hundreds or thousands of years, the researchers said.

The findings may also help inform new prevention and treatment approaches for tuberculosis, a wily pathogen that, each year, sickens more than 10 million people and causes more than a million deaths worldwide, according to the World Health Organization.

In the current analysis, believed to be the first controlled comparison of TB strains' infectivity in populations of mixed geographic origins, the researchers custom built a study cohort by combining case files from patients with TB in New York City, Amsterdam, and Hamburg. Doing so gave them enough data to power their models.

The analysis showed that close household contacts of people diagnosed with a strain of TB from a geographically restricted lineage had a 14 percent lower rate of infection and a 45 percent lower rate of developing active TB disease compared with those exposed to a strain belonging to a widespread lineage.

The study also showed that strains with narrow geographic ranges are much more likely to infect people with roots in the bacteria's native geographic region than people from outside the region.

The researchers found that the odds of infection dropped by 38 percent when a contact is exposed to a restricted pathogen from a geographic region that doesn't match the person's background, compared with when a person is exposed to a geographically restricted microbe from a region that does match their home country. This was true for people who had lived in the region themselves and for people whose two parents could each trace their heritage to the region.

This pathogen-host affinity points to a shared evolution between humans and microbes with certain biological features rendering both more compatible and fueling the risk for infection, the researchers said.

"The size of the effect is surprisingly large," said Maha Farhat, the Gilbert S. Omenn, MD '65, PhD Associate Professor of Biomedical Informatics in the Blavatnik Institute at HMS. "That's a good indicator that the impact on public health is substantial."

Why differences matter

Thanks to the growing use of genetic sequencing, researchers have observed not all circulating strains are created equal. Some lineages are widespread and responsible for much of the TB around the world, while others are prevalent only in a few restricted areas. Given that the complex nature of TB transmission in high-incidence settings where people often have multiple exposures to different lineages, researchers have not been able to compare strains under similar conditions and have been left to speculate about possible explanations for the differences between strains.

Many factors increase the risk of contracting tuberculosis from a close contact. One of the best predictors of whether a person will infect their close contacts is bacterial load, measured by a test called sputum smear microscopy, which shows how many bacteria a person carries in their respiratory system.

But the new study showed that for geographically restricted strains, whether a person has ancestors who lived where the strain is common was an even bigger predictor of infection risk than bacterial load in the sputum. In the cases analyzed in the study, this risk of common ancestry even outweighed the risk stemming from having diabetes and other chronic diseases previously shown to render people more susceptible to infection.

The findings add to a growing body of evidence of the importance of paying attention to the wide variation between different lineages of tuberculosis and to the details of how different lineages of tuberculosis interact with different host populations.

Previous studies have shown that some genetic groups of TB are more prone to developing drug resistance and that TB vaccines appear to work better in some places than others. There is also evidence that some treatment regimens might be better suited to some strains of TB than others.

"These findings emphasize how important it is to understand what makes different strains of TB behave so differently from one another, and why some strains have such a close affinity for specific, related groups of people," said Matthias Groeschel, research fellow in biomedical informatics in Farhat's lab at HMS; resident physician at Charité, a university hospital in Berlin; and the study's first author.

In addition to the analysis of clinical, genomic, and public health data, the researchers also tested the ability of different strains of TB to infect human macrophages, a type of immune cell that TB hijacks to cause infection and disease. The researchers grew cells from donors from different regions. Once again, cell lines from people with ancestry that matched the native habitat of a restricted strain of tuberculosis bacteria were more susceptible to the germs than cells from people from outside the area, mirroring the results of their epidemiologic study.

Until now, most experiments of the interaction between human immune cells and TB have not compared how TB interacts with cells of hosts from different populations or places, the researchers said.

While this experiment was not designed to capture insights about the mechanism underlying the affinity between human and TB populations sharing geographic backgrounds, it highlights the importance of using multiple strains of TB and cells from diverse populations to inform treatment and prevention. It also points to the need for more basic research to understand the genomic and structural differences in how bacterial and host cells interface, the researchers said.

"It's so important to appreciate that the great diversity of human and tuberculosis genetics can significantly impact how people and microbes respond to one another and to things like drugs and vaccines," Farhat said. "We have to incorporate that into the way we think about the disease."

"We're at the very beginning of appreciating the importance of that diversity," Groeschel said. "There's so much more to learn about how it might impact the efficacy of drugs, vaccines, and the course that disease takes in different strains."

Advances in gene sequencing create a new puzzle

While the closely related but distinct genetic groups of tuberculosis were discovered with more traditional methods of genotyping, the widespread use of whole genome sequencing by public health departments around the world allowed doctors and researchers to better profile TB germs and track outbreaks and drug resistance genetically.

The realization that highly localized stains didn't spread well to other regions led researchers to speculate that regionally constrained strains were less infectious than widespread strains. Since the constrained strains persisted within their limited ranges, some researchers speculated that localized populations of the bacteria may have coevolved with their human hosts, making different human populations more susceptible to different types of TB. This could also mean, researchers hypothesized, that different strains of TB would have different susceptibility to different treatments and vaccines. For example, structural differences in the shape of the bacteria might prevent some drugs from binding effectively with bacteria from different strains.

Until recently, these hypotheses were nearly impossible to test, given the differences between cultural and environmental conditions that might affect infection rates in different communities and other parts of the world. Furthermore, the fact that the constrained stains strayed from home so rarely made it challenging to gather enough data to measure differences across strains.

Multidisciplinary science cracks the case

To overcome these obstacles, the research team collaborated with public health departments and research teams from the U.S., the Netherlands, and Germany to assemble a massive database integrating tuberculosis case reports, pathogen genetic profiles, and public health records of infection rates among close contacts. The analysis also incorporated demographic details about the social networks of infected people to assess how the different genetic lineages of tuberculosis spread in other populations. In total, the study included 5,256 TB cases and 28,889 close contacts.

"This study is a great example of why it's so important for researchers to collaborate with many different kinds of partners," said Groeschel. "We were able to merge public health data from three big cities and use the powerful computational biology tools that we have access to in academic medicine to answer a complicated question that has important implications for public health and evolutionary biology, vaccine development, and drug research."